Dollar Melemah,Harga Minyak Bergerak Menguat

Dolar Melemah, Harga Minyak Bergerak Menguat

Kamis, 18 November 2010 - 14:49 wib
Martin Bagya Kertiyasa - Okezone
Ilustrasi
SINGAPURA - Naiknya harga minyak hingga di atas USD81 per barel di Asia berbarengan dengan rebound yang terjadi di pasar saham regional. Melemahnya nilai dolar Amerika Serikat (AS) disinyalir sebagai salah satu faktor yang mendorong kenaikan harga minyak mentah tersebut.

Benchmark pengiriman minyak untuk Desember naik 74 sen menjadi USD81,18 per barel di perdagangan elektronik di New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) siang ini. Sementara di pasar berjangka, harga minyak mentah ini turun USD1,90 dan ke USD80,44.

Di London, minyak mentah jenis Brent juga naik 93 sen menjadi USD84,21 per barel di bursa ICE Futures.

Para pedagang minyak, sering melihat pasar saham sebagai ukuran sentimen investor secara keseluruhan, sebagian besar indeks saham Asia menguat Kamis ini, dipicu oleh positifnya kinerja ekonomi Jepang, Korea Selatan dan Hong Kong yang lebih dari satu persen.

Melemahnya nilai tukar dolar atas euro dan poundsterling membuat harga minyak mentah lebih murah bagi para investor di Eropa dan Inggris tersebut. Penguatan juga terjadi pada yen, meskipun hanya sedikit.

Sejak seminggu yang lalu minyak telah turun ke USD88 per barel, dipicu oleh kekhawatiran akan langkah-langkah kebijakan China guna menahan inflasi akan menggerogoti pertumbuhan ekonomi dan permintaan untuk minyak mentah.

China tahun ini telah menjadi negara dengan pertumbuhan konsumsi bahan bakar paling besar di dunia sementara negara-negara maju lainnya berjuang untuk memperkuat ekspansi ekonomi pasca resesi tahun lalu.

"Jika pemerintah China menaikkan suku bunga atau memotong jumlah uang beredar guna menahan kenaikan, harga minyak akan menarik kembali stabil," ungkap Sander Capital Advisors seperti dilansir AFP, Kamis (18/11/2010).(wdi)
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Emas Ukir Rekor Baru

Emas: Ukir Rekor Baru, Bidikan Berikut di $1430


Harga spot emas kembali mengukir rekor tinggi baru di $1,412.75 per ons di hari Selasa, terkait kekhawatiran inflasi dan kecemasan masalah hutang di negara-negara zona euro terus memacu minat para investor terhadap sejumlah logam mulia.
Secara teknikal harga spot emas diperkirakan masih bakal menguat lagi menuju $1,430 per ons, terkait pola uptrend masih begitu kuat, sementara gelombang "5" masih terus bullish (Lih. gbr teknikal dibawah).
 
Emas telah sukses bertengger diatas resisten $1,387.10, level tinggi yang tercatat 14 Okt, dan target bullish jangka-menengah di $1,458 telah terbentuk. Bila gelombang "5" terus meluas, harga akan merangkak naik bersamaan dengan ascending channel yang mengarah ke $1,430, atau harga dapat kembali ke gelombang "3" ketika gelombang saat ini yang sedang terbentuk terbukti tidak sesuai pada tahap berikutnya, namun kedua gelombang sama-sama mengarah pada titik $1,430.
 
Sementara level support berada pada titik rendah gelombang "4" di kisaran $1,386, merosot dibawah level ini mungkin akan menekan harga terus menurun hingga menuju $1,372.
 
 
Grafik berikut merupakan prediksi teknikal harga spot emas, sumber Thomson Reuters
 
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Teknikal: Meski Turun, Bias Emas Tetap Rebound(monexnews)
3 November 2010   11:10


Emas melorot tipis di hari Rabu kendati dollar melemah terkait para investor tidak banyak mengambil posisi (wait and see) di hari terakhir pertemuan Federal Reserve. Pihak bank sentral kemungkinan akan memutuskan untuk menggelontorkan ratusan milyar dollar ke dalam perokonomian yang saat ini tengah lesu.
Namun dari sisi teknikal sinyal untuk spot emas adalah netral seraya harga akan bergerak antara $1,349 s/d $1,359 per ons. Keluar dari range harga akan memberikan poin petunjuk arah yang jelas, dimana melonjak diatas $1,360 akan terkonfirmasi sebuah dasar high-low di kisaran $1,349, dan membentuk target bullish di area $1,370.
 
Merosot dibawah $1,349 akan mengindikasi sebuah gelombang "c" yang terbentuk mengarah $1,342, level 50% dari Fibonacci retracement pada penguatan dari $1,318.74 sampai $1,365.49. Bias emas akan menjadi bullish, terkait kadang-kadang gelombang "c" dapat jatuh dari proyeksi panjang dan stop ada di kisaran hingga gelobang "a".
 
 
Grafik berikut merupakan prediksi teknikal harga spot emas, sumber Thomson Reuters
 
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Harga Minyak Turun Imbas Suku Bunga Cina

Harga Minyak Turun Imbas Suku Bunga Cina  

Tim Liputan 6 SCTV


20/10/2010 06:28

Liputan6.com, New York: Harga minyak merosot pada Selasa(19/10) waktu setempat, karena dolar "rebound" (berbalik naik) terhadap mata uang utama dan setelah Cina bergerak menaikkan suku bunga untuk mengatasi inflasi dan harga properti yang melonjak.

Kontrak utama New York, minyak mentah light sweet untuk pengiriman November merosot 3,59 dolar AS menjadi menetap pada 79,49 dolar per barel. Di London, minyak mentah Brent North Sea untuk pengiriman Desember ditutup 3,27 dolar lebih rendah pada 81,10 dolar. Harga minyak mentah New York telah naik tajam pada Senin (18/10) akibat kekhawatiran bahwa pemogokan yang berlangsung di Prancis akan mengganggu pasokan di Eropa.

Dolar merosot minggu lalu ke dekat terendah sembilan bulan terhadap euro, dan sebuah nadir 15 tahun terhadap yen, setelah Federal Reserve AS mengisyaratkan dapat mengimplementasikan tindakan pelonggaran moneter lebih untuk menopang pemulihan yang goyah.

Bank sentral Cina mengumumkan Selasa (19/10), akan menaikkan acuan suku bunga pinjaman satu tahun dan suku bunga simpanan masing-masing sebesar 25 basis poin. Kenaikan tingkat suku bunga pertama dalam hampir tiga tahun itu mengguncang pasar mata uang global dan keluar menjelang data kunci pekan ini yang diperkirakan menunjukkan ekonomi terbesar kedua dunia itu terus melambat dalam kuartal ketiga.

The People`s Bank of Cina mengatakan akan menaikkan suku bunga pinjaman yuan satu tahun menjadi 5,56 persen dari 5,31 persen, dan tingkat suku bunga deposito yuan satu tahun menjadi 2,5 persen dari 2,25 persen. Kenaikan ini akan berlaku mulai Rabu, bank sentral mengatakan dalam pernyataannya.
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Waspada, Harga Emas & Minyak Mentah Melambung

Waspada, Harga Emas & Minyak Mentah Melambung

Selasa, 19 Oktober 2010 - 10:10 wib  
Rheza Andhika Pamungkas - Okezone
Emas. Foto: monex.com
JAKARTA - Perekonomian global yang masih dirundung ketidakpastian membuat pasar banyak memindahkan dananya ke sektor komoditas seperti emas dunia dan minyak mentah. Namun naiknya harga kedua produk barang komoditas ini patut diwaspadai investor.

"Saat ini harga minyak mentah terus naik dari tahun ke tahun. Namun ini menjadi kekhawatiran saya. Jangan pernah percaya terhadap apa yang dikatakan spekulator bahwa naiknya harga minyak mentah karena tingginya demand negara-negara maju. Itu bohong belaka," ujar pengamat valas Farial Anwar saat dihubungi okezone di Jakarta, Selasa (19/10/2010).

Menurutnya kenaikan harga minyak mentah saat ini bukan karena permintaan yang tinggi dari negara-negara maju. Karena jika permintaan tinggi maka perekonomian global pasti sudah pulih. Tetapi justru sebaliknya, hal yang terjadi saat ini adalah pemulihan ekonomi global berjalan lambat.

Naiknya harga minyak bukan karena riil tetapi karena permainan spekulator. Karena spekulator kan bersikap opportunis dan hanya mencari untung saja. "Makanya investor harus berhati-hati. Karena seperti diketahui investor tidak hanya bermain di pasar uang dan valas saja tetapi juga di sektor investasi lainnya termasuk komoditi," jelasnya.

Tak terkecuali dengan harga emas. Menurutnya kenaikan harga emas saat ini hanya untuk spekulasi bagi spekulator saja Ini juga menjadi ajang spekulator untuk mencari keuntungan. "Makanya investor harus terus waspada," pungkasnya.

Di penutupan kemarin berdasarkan yahoofinance, harga minyak mentah ditutup menguat 0,26 sen atau 0,32 persen ke level 81,51 per barel. Sedangkan emas ditutup melemah USD6,60 atau turun 0,48 persen ke level USD1,364.50 per ounce.
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Orang-orang Super Kaya Kini Beralih Memilih Investasi Emas

Orang-orang Super Kaya Kini Beralih Memilih Investasi Emas
Nurul Qomariyah - detikFinance






Foto: Reuters
Jenewa - Ditengah kondisi perekonomian dunia yang labil, orang-orang super kaya di dunia pun meresponsnya dengan mengalihkan portofolio investasinya ke emas.

Mereka menarik aset-asetnya dari sistem finansial dan memborong emas hingga berbatang-batang, bahkan ada yang hingga berton-ton untuk mencari tempat lindung investasi yang dianggap paling aman.

Eksekutif UBS, Josef Standler mengatakan, kekhawatiran akan terjadinya pelemahan ekonomi yang berlarut-larut telah meningkatkan minat terhadap emas, termasuk juga saham-saham sektor pertambangan dan exchange-traded funds (ETF) atau reksa dana yang diperdagangkan di bursa.

"Mereka tidak hanya membeli ETF atau produk berjangka, mereka juga membeli emas secara fisik," yar Standler dalam Reuters Global Private Banking Summit, seperti dikutip dari Reuters, Selasa (5/10/2010).

UBS kini tercatat sebagai salah satu bank terbesar Swiss yang memiliki klien-klien kakap dengan aset yang diinvestasikan mencapai US$ 50 juta.

UBS merekomendasikan kepada klien-klien kelas atasnya untuk menyisihkan 7-10% asetnya ke logam-logam berharga seperti emas. Mereka pun kini bisa menikmati untung besar karena kenaikan harga emas yang cukup besar dalam beberapa bulan terakhir dan pada Senin kemarin berada di level US$ 1.314,50 per ounce, atau mendekati level tertingginya yang dicetak pekan lalu.

"Kami memiliki sebuah contoh nyata dari pasangan yang membeli lebih dari 1 ton emas dan membawanya ke tempat lain," ungkap Stadler.

Dengan mengacu pada harga sekarang, maka emas yang dibeli pasangan klien UBS itu setara dengan US$ 42 juta.

Chief investment officer Julius Baer untuk Asia juga merekomendasikan investor-investor kaya untuk memarkirkan sebagian asetnya pada emas, sebagai tempat investasi aman di tengah data-data perekonomian AS yang belum baik dan kekhawatiran akan pelemahan mata uang.

"Saya melihat emas sebagai sebuah jaminan. Saya merekomendasikan 10% sebagai minimum portofolio dan sisanya bisa digunakan untuk tujuan perdagangan, guna merespons sinyal onverbought atau oversold," jelasnya.

Jauh sebelumnya, taipan kaya George Soros telah memperingatkan, emas kini telah mencapai 'puncak bubble' karena tidak memiliki nilai sesungguhnya kecuali pada harga pasar.

Namun Stadler mengatakan, logam-logam berharga telah menjadi penjepit portofolio investor, meski muncul pertanyaan apakah itu merupakan investasi jangka panjang yang cerdas.

"Jika Anda berbicara tentang orang-orang super kaya, level ketidakpastian tidak pernah lebih tinggi dalam 2,3 atau 4 tahun terakhir," ujarnya.

"Jika mereka menanyakan kepada saya, 'apakah inflasi akan naik atau kami memasuki siklus deflasi?' Saya tidak tahu. Namun secara jelas tidak ada orang yang tahu," imbuhnya.

Anthony DeChellis, managing director of Credit Suisse's Americas private banking unit mengatakan, klien-klien lebih tertarik melakukan kapitalisasi pada kenaikan harga emas ketimbang menggunakan logam berharga sebagai tempat investasi aman.

"Mereka bertanya 'Jika ini adalah gelembung, seberapa jauh saya bisa mengendarai gelembung itu?' Dan saya tidak dapat mengatakan kita telah melohat lonjakan dalam ketertarikan emas, namun ada ketertarikan atas fenomena itu," urainya.
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Negara Terkaya di Dunia

Negara Terkaya di Dunia - Banyak sebenarnya yang tidak tahu dimanakah negara terkaya di planet bumi ini, ada yang mengatakan Amerika, ada juga yang mengatakan negera-negara di timur tengah. tidak salah sebenarnya, contohnya amerika. negara super power itu memiliki tingkat kemajuan teknologi yang hanya bisa disaingi segelintir negara, contoh lain lagi adalah negara-negara di timur tengah. rata-rata negara yang tertutup gurun pasir dan cuaca yang menyengat itu mengandung jutaan barrel minyak yang siap untuk diolah. tapi itu semua belum cukup untuk menyamai negara yang satu ini. bahkan Amerika, Negara-negara timur tengah serta Uni Eropa-pun tak mampu menyamainya.

dan inilah negara terkaya di planet bumi yang luput dari perhatian warga bumi lainya. warga negara ini pastilah bangga jika mereka tahu. tapi sayangnya mereka tidak sadar "berdiri di atas berlian" langsung saja kita lihat profil negaranya.








Negara Terkaya






Wooww... Apa yang terjadi? apakah penulis (saya) salah? tapi dengan tegas saya nyatakan bahwa negara itulah sebagai negara terkaya di dunia. tapi bukankah negara itu sedang dalam kondisi terpuruk? hutang dimana-mana, kemiskinan, korupsi yang meraja lela, kondisi moral bangsa yang kian menurun serta masalah-masalah lain yang sedang menyelimuti negara itu.

baiklah mari kita urai semuanya satu persatu sehingga kita bisa melihat kekayaan negara ini sesungguhnya.

1. Negara ini punya pertambangan emas terbesar dengan kualitas emas terbaik di dunia. namanya PT Freeport.



Apa saja kandungan yang di tambang di Freeport? ketika pertambangan ini dibuka hingga sekarang, pertambangan ini telah mengasilkan 7,3 JUTA ons tembaga dan 724,7 JUTA ons emas.  yang mau bantu saya menghitung nilai tersebut saya persilahkan! hitunglah sendiri dan anda akan tercengang dengan nilainya

lalu siapa yang mengelola pertambangan ini? bukan negara ini tapi AMERIKA! prosentasenya adalah 1% untuk negara pemilik tanah dan 99% untuk amerika sebagai negara yang memiliki teknologi untuk melakukan pertambangan disana.

bahkan ketika emas dan tembaga disana mulai menipis ternyata dibawah lapisan emas dan tembaga tepatnya di kedalaman 400 meter ditemukan kandungan mineral yang harganya 100 kali lebih mahal dari pada emas, ya.. dialah URANIUM! bahan baku pembuatan bahan bakar nuklir itu ditemukan disana. belum jelas jumlah kandungan uranium yang ditemukan disana, tapi kabar terakhir yang beredar menurut para ahli kandungan uranium disana cukup untuk membuat pembangkit listrik Nuklir dengan tenaga yang dapat menerangi seluruh bumi hanya dengan kandungan uranium disana. Freeport banyak berjasa bagi segelintir pejabat negeri ini, para jenderal dan juga para politisi nakal, yang bisa menikmati hidup dengan bergelimang harta dengan memiskinkan bangsa ini.

2. Negara ini punya cadangan gas alam TERBESAR DI DUNIA! tepatnya di Blok Natuna.



Berapa kandungan gas di blok natuna? Blok Natuna D Alpha memiliki cadangan gas hingga 202 TRILIUN kaki kubik!! dan masih banyak Blok-Blok penghasil tambang dan minyak seperti Blok Cepu dll. DIKELOLA SIAPA? EXXON MOBIL! dibantu sama Pertamina

3. Negara ini punya Hutan Tropis terbesar di dunia. hutan tropis ini memiliki luas 39.549.447 Hektar, dengan keanekaragaman hayati dan plasmanutfah terlengkap di dunia.



letaknya di pulau sumatra, kalimantan dan sulawesi. sebenarnya jika negara ini menginginkan kiamat sangat mudah saja buat mereka. tebang saja semua pohon di hutan itu maka bumi pasti kiamat. karena bumi ini sangat tergantung sekali dengan hutan tropis ini untuk menjaga keseimbangan iklim karena hutan hujan amazon tak cukup kuat untuk menyeimbangkan iklim bumi. dan sekarang mereka sedikit demi sediki telah mengkancurkanya hanya untuk segelintir orang yang punya uang untuk perkebunan dan lapangan Golf. sungguh sangat ironis sekali.

4. Negara ini punya Luatan terluas di dunia. dikelilingi dua samudra, yaitu Pasific dan Hindia hingga tidak heran memiliki jutaan spesies ikan yang tidak dimiliki negara lain.


Saking kaya-nya laut negara ini sampai-sampai negara lain pun ikut memanen ikan di lautan negara ini.

5. Negara ini punya jumlah penduduk terbesar ke 4 didunia. dengan jumlah penduduk segitu harusnya banyak orang-orang pintar yang telah dihasilkan negara ini, tapi pemerintah menelantarkan mereka-mereka. sebagai sifat manusia yang ingin bertahan hidup tentu saja mereka ingin di hargai. jalan lainya adalah keluar dari negara ini dan memilih membela negara lain yang bisa menganggap mereka dengan nilai yang pantas.


6. Negara ini memiliki tanah yang sangat subur. karena memiliki banyak gunung berapi yang aktif menjadikan tanah di negara ini sangat subur terlebih lagi negara ini dilintasi garis katulistiwa yang banyak terdapat sinar matahari dan hujan.


Jika dibandingkan dengan negara-negara timur tengah yang memiliki minyak yang sangat melimpah negara ini tentu saja jauh lebih kaya. coba kita semua bayangkan karena hasil mineral itu tak bisa diperbaharui dengan cepat. dan ketika seluruh minyak mereka telah habis maka mereka akan menjadi negara yang miskin karena mereka tidak memiliki tanah sesubur negara ini yang bisa ditanami apapun juga. bahkan tongkat kayu dan batu jadi tanaman.

7. Negara ini punya pemandangan yang sangat eksotis dan lagi-lagi tak ada negara yang bisa menyamainya. dari puncak gunung hingga ke dasar laut bisa kita temui di negara ini.












Negara ini sangat amat kaya sekali, tak ada bangsa atau negara lain sekaya INDONESIA! tapi apa yang terjadi?


untuk EXXON MOBIL OIL, FREEPORT, SHELL, PETRONAS dan semua PEJABAT NEGARA yang menjual kekayaan Bangsa untuk keuntungan negara asing, diucapkan TERIMA KASIH.


Sebuah cerita mungkin akan bisa menggambarkan indonesia saat ini silahkan disimak.

Judulnya Ketika Tuhan Menciptakan Indonesia

Suatu hari Tuhan tersenyum puas melihat sebuah planet yang baru saja diciptakan- Nya. Malaikat pun bertanya, "Apa yang baru saja Engkau ciptakan, Tuhan?" "Lihatlah, Aku baru saja menciptakan sebuah planet biru yang bernama Bumi," kata Tuhan sambil menambahkan beberapa awan di atas daerah hutan hujan Amazon. Tuhan melanjutkan, "Ini akan menjadi planet yang luar biasa dari yang pernah Aku ciptakan. Di planet baru ini, segalanya akan terjadi secara seimbang".

Lalu Tuhan menjelaskan kepada malaikat tentang Benua Eropa. Di Eropa sebelah utara, Tuhan menciptakan tanah yang penuh peluang dan menyenangkan seperti Inggris, Skotlandia dan Perancis. Tetapi di daerah itu, Tuhan juga menciptakan hawa dingin yang menusuk tulang.

Di Eropa bagian selatan, Tuhan menciptakan masyarakat yang agak miskin, seperti Spanyol dan Portugal, tetapi banyak sinar matahari dan hangat serta pemandangan eksotis di Selat Gibraltar.

Lalu malaikat menunjuk sebuah kepulauan sambil berseru, "Lalu daerah apakah itu Tuhan?" "O, itu," kata Tuhan, "itu Indonesia. Negara yang sangat kaya dan sangat cantik di planet bumi. Ada jutaan flora dan fauna yang telah Aku ciptakan di sana. Ada jutaan ikan segar di laut yang siap panen. Banyak sinar matahari dan hujan. Penduduknya Ku ciptakan ramah tamah,suka menolong dan berkebudayaan yang beraneka warna. Mereka pekerja keras, siap hidup sederhana dan bersahaja serta mencintai seni."

Dengan terheran-heran, malaikat pun protes, "Lho, katanya tadi setiap negara akan diciptakan dengan keseimbangan. Kok Indonesia baik-baik semua. Lalu dimana letak keseimbangannya? "
Tuhan pun menjawab dalam bahasa Inggris, "Wait, until you see the idiots I put in the government." (tunggu sampai Saya menaruh 'idiot2' di pemerintahannya)


Dan untuk rasa terima kasih untuk Kemerdekaan Indonesia yang ke 65 tahun, kami pemuda-pemudi Indonesia memberikan penghargaan sebesar-besarnya kepada pejuang yang telah mengorbankan darah dan air mata mereka untuk bangsa yang tidak tahu terima kasih ini.




"Indonesia tanah air beta
disana tempat lahir beta,
dibuai dibesarkan bunda,
Tempat berlindung di hari Tua...
HIngga nanti menutup mata"



HIDUPLAH INDONESIA RAYA......!!!!!!
Memperingati HUT RI ke 65 Tahun
17 Agustus 1945 - 17 Agustus 2010

MERDEKA....!!!!!



Post ini adalah di muat ulang dengan menambahkan dan menyajikanya secara berbeda dengan versi aslinya oleh (suranegara) Sumber asli ditulis oleh Serikatjomblo dengan thread aslinya di Negara Paling Kaya Sedunia ! USA KALAH..Uni Eropa Menyerah !
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Gold- Daily technical Forecast


Gold closed higher on Wednesday as it consolidates above the 20-day moving average. Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bullish signalling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If it extends last week's rally, the reaction high crossing is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing would temper the friendly outlook.(ibtimes)
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Gold Technical Precious Metals (2010-08-12)

Today, we will add the classical overview to the previous explained Elliott count. Gold shows the probability of forming a head and shoulders top pattern on the same four-hour interval with a neckline at 1192.00 zones. Hence, we hold onto our bearish anticipations over intraday and may be short term basis. We recommend reviewing the weekly report for more details about our proposed Elliott count.
The trading range for today is among the key support at 1172.00 and key resistance now at 1224.00.
The general trend over short term basis is to the upside, targeting 1365.00 per ounce as far as areas of 1120.00 remain intact.(ibtimes)
Previous Report
Weekly Report

Support1196.001192.001187.001183.001176.00

Resistance1203.001210.001212.001216.001219.00

RecommendationBased on the charts and explanations above our opinion is, selling gold with a breakout below 1192.00 targeting 1165.00 and stop loss above 1212.00 might be appropriate.
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Crude Oil - Daily technical Forecast


Crude Oil closed sharply lower on Wednesday and below the 20-day moving average crossing confirming that a short-term top has been posted. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signalling that sideways to lower are possible near-term. If it extends today's decline, the reaction low crossing is the next downside target. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing would temper the near-term bearish outlook.(ibtimes)
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Gold Technical Precious Metals (2010-08-11)

Gold achieved a successful re-testing action for yesterday's broken support line of the secondary ascending channel. The decline occurred after touching this broken line is to declare that the bearish pressure might continue over intraday basis. Actually, our previous explained Elliott cycle is still valid and one more breakout below the pivotal support levels of 1198.00 will bring panic sell-off movements to activate the third wave.
The trading range for today is among the key support at 1172.00 and key resistance now at 1224.00.
The general trend over short term basis is to the upside, targeting 1365.00 per ounce as far as areas of 1120.00 remain intact.(ibtimes)
Previous Report
Weekly Report

Support1198.001196.001192.001187.001183.00

Resistance1203.001210.001212.001216.001219.00

RecommendationBased on the charts and explanations above our opinion is, selling gold with a breakout below 1198.00 targeting 1176.00 and stop loss above 1216.00 might be appropriate.
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Gold- Daily technical Forecast


Gold closed lower due to profit taking on Tuesday as it consolidated some of last week's rally but remains above the 20-day moving average crossing. Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bullish signalling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If it extends last week's rally, the reaction high crossing is the next upside target. Closes below the 10-day moving average crossing would temper the friendly outlook.(ibtimes)
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Crude Oil - Daily technical Forecast


Crude Oil closed lower on Tuesday and signalling that a short-term top has been posted. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI have turned bearish signalling that sideways to lower are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing are needed to confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If it renews the rally off May's low, the reaction high crossing is the next upside target.(ibtimes)
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Gold- Daily technical Forecast


Gold closed higher on Friday as it extends last week's breakout above the 20-day moving average crossing. Stochastics and the RSI remain bullish signalling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If it extends last week's rally, the reaction high crossing is the next upside target. Closes below the 10-day moving average crossing would temper the friendly outlook.(ibtimes)
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Gold Technical Precious Metals (2010-08-09)

Reconsidering our suggested Elliott count, which we explained in details in the past wee, we can see a completion scenario for the grand second wave as it retraced sharply from 161.8% Fibonacci level of A wave at 1210.00. Actually, this aforesaid level met 50% Fibonacci level of the entire descending rally from all-time high of 1265.00 to 1156.00. Thus; we are not completely sure if the metal has placed the second wave completely or it can touch 1224.00-61.8% Fibonacci of the first wave-. Anyway, the bearishness is in favor during this week as far as tradingremains below 1224.00 zones to form the bigger third wave.
The trading range for this week is among the key support at 1165.00 and key resistance now at 1245.00.
The general trend over the short term basis is to the upside, targeting $ 1365.00 per ounce as far as areas of 1120.00 remain intact.(ibtimes)
Previous Report

Support1198.001192.001187.001183.001176.00

Resistance1210.001216.001224.001232.001235.00

RecommendationBased on the charts and explanations above our opinion is, selling gold with a breakout below 1198.00 targeting 1165.00 and stop loss above 1224.00 might be appropriate.
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Technical Oil (2010-08-09)

Crude was able to achieve the suggested bearish trend in our last reports as it managed to achieve primary targets around $80.00 per barrel and finds a hard time reaching the retest level at 79.35, due to the upcoming support fromSMA 50. Chances of achieving more bearish movement that is available according to trading principals as it trades within crude channel's, meanwhile the stochastic is showing bullish signs that support the current bearish trend ending and halting atSMA 50 that meets with 38.2% Fibonacci correction for the last bullish wave. This conflict in signs makes us recommend observing trading for upcoming reports as we await for more assurance signs.
The trading range for today is among the key support around 78.60 and the key resistance around 84.40.
The short term trend is to the downside as far as 84.00 remains intact with targets around 61.60.(ibtimes)
Previous Report

Support80.5079.9079.3578.6077.60

Resistance81.3081.8582.5582.9083.65

RecommendationOur morning expectation remains valid and we recommend moving the stop loss to the entry point.
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Crude Oil - Daily technical Forecast


Crude Oil closed lower due to profit taking on Friday as it consolidates some of last week's rally. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought and are turning neutral to bearish hinting that a short-term top might be in or is near.
Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If it extends the rally off May's low, the reaction high crossing is the next upside target.(ibtimes)
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Gold Technical Precious Metals (2010-08-06)

The negative crossover which appears on Stochastic of the daily chart-secondary image- could assist the metal to achieve our bearish technical speculation. The negative scenario is based on the suggested Elliott count as three internal waves are awaited to be activated to the downside to form "B" wave. To recap, possible bearishness could be witnessed over intraday basis.
The trading range for today is among the key support at 1165.00 and key resistance now at 1220.00.
The general trend over short term basis is to the upside, targeting 1365.00 per ounce as far as areas of 1120.00 remain intact.(ibtimes)
Weekly Report
Previous Report

Support1192.001187.001184.001176.001172.00

Resistance1198.001203.001209.001211.001216.00

RecommendationBased on the charts and explanations above our opinion is, selling gold with a breakout below 1194.00 targeting 1173.00 and stop loss above 1211.00 might be appropriate.
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Gold- Daily technical Forecast


Gold closed higher on Thursday as it extends yesterday's breakout above the 20-day moving average crossing. Stochastics and the RSI remain bullish signalling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If it extends this week's rally, the reaction high crossing is the next upside target. Closes below the 10-day moving average crossing would temper the friendly outlook.(ibtimes)
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Technical Oil (2010-08-06)

Crude is finding strong support around 81.55 and thereby this support will form the neckline for the bearish technical pattern shown in the image above, alongside clear overbought signs appearing through moment um indicators. We expect a bearish intraday trend that will start with a clear breach of the mentioned neckline heading towards technical targets that start at 80.70 then 79.90. The breach of 82.55 and building a base above it will weaken chances of resuming today's expectations.
The trading range for today is among the key support around 79.90 and the key resistance around 84.00.
The short term trend is to the downside as far as 84.00 remains intact with targets around 61.60.(ibtimes)
Previous Report
Weekly Report

Support81.5581.1080.7079.9079.35

Resistance82.5582.9083.6084.4585.10

RecommendationBased on the charts and explanations above our opinion is selling crude with the breach of 81.55 targeting 79.90 and stop loss above 82.60, might be appropriate.
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Crude Oil - Daily technical Forecast


Crude Oil closed lower due to profit taking on Thursday as it consolidates some of this week's decline. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Friday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signalling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If it extends the rally off May's low, the reaction high crossing is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing would confirm that a short-term top has been posted.(ibtimes)
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Gold- Daily technical Forecast


Gold closed higher on Tuesday as it continues to rebound off the 50% retracement level of this year's rally crossing. Stochastics and the RSI have turned bullish hinting that a short-term low might be in or is near. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. If it renews the decline off June's high, the 62% retracement level of the aforementioned decline crossing is the next downside target.(ibtimes)
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Gold Technical Precious Metals (2010-08-04)

Today, we will suggest an Elliott count for the movements that started at the all-time high of 1265.00. As we see on the provided four-hour chart , gold formed 5 waves earlier -Impulsive wave- and we think that "A" wave is on its way to be completed within 5 internal waves, indicating that the corrective structure could take zigzag shape"5-3-5". Consequently, 3 waves to the downside are awaited to form "B" wave but we still need more confirmation that "A" wave was completed. We can get this confirmation if the metal breached 1184.00. Thus; our outlook will be neutral today until we see what will be the price behavior during the coming sessions.
The trading range for today is among the key support at 1162.00 and key resistance now at 1220.00.
The general trend over short term basis is to the upside, targeting 1365.00 per ounce as far as areas of 1120.00 remain intact.(ibtimes)
Weekly Report Previous Report

Support1187.001184.001176.001172.001165.00

Resistance1196.001198.001203.001209.001211.00

RecommendationBased on the charts and explanations above our opinion is, staying aside until a clearer sign appears to pinpoint the upcoming big move.
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Technical Oil (2010-08-04)

Crude fluctuated yesterday around resistance for the bullish channel shown above, where it is currently at 82.25 as momentum indicators are showing negative signs that make us expect a bearish intraday direction; initially targeting 81.10 that are moving away to retest the previously breached neckline at 79.35. Keep in mind that stability above 82.25 will push crude to resume the bullish short term trend without the need to currently attempt a bearish correction.
The trading range for today is among the key support around 80.00 and the key resistance around 84.00.
The short term trend is to the downside as far as 84.00 remains intact with targets around 61.60.(ibtimes)
Previous Report
Weekly Report

Support81.9581.1080.7080.0079.35

Resistance82.2582.9083.6084.4585.10

RecommendationBased on the charts and explanations above our opinion is selling crude around 82.25 targeting 81.10 and stop loss above 82.90, might be appropriate.
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Crude Oil - Daily technical Forecast


Crude Oil closed higher on Tuesday as it extends the rally off May's low. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are bullish signalling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If it extends the rally off May's low, the reaction high crossingis the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing would temper the near-term friendly outlook.(ibtimes)
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Gold- Daily technical Forecast


Gold closed higher due to short covering on Monday as it continues to rebound off the 50% retracement level of this year's rally crossing. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but turning bullish hinting that a short-term low might be in or is near. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. If it renews the decline off June's high, the 62% retracement level of the aforementioned decline crossing is the next downside target.(ibtimes)
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Gold Technical Precious Metals (2010-08-03)

The strength of the suggested neckline for the bearish classical pattern has forced gold to show downside actions as the metal came below the pivotal support levels of 1184.00. Thereby, we believe that the re-testing movements were completed and it might move downwards over intraday basis. A break of 1172.00 could open the door for panic sell-off actions, retargeting 1156.00.
The trading range for today is among the key support at 1156.00 and key resistance now at 1216.00.
The general trend over short term basis is to the upside, targeting 1365.00 per ounce as far as areas of 1120.00 remain intact.(ibtimes)
Weekly Report Previous Report

Support1176.001172.001165.001158.001155.00

Resistance1184.001187.001182.001196.001198.00

RecommendationBased on the charts and explanations above our opinion is, selling gold around 1184.00 targeting 1163.00 and stop loss above 1198.00 might be appropriate.
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Technical Oil (2010-08-03)

Crude yesterday strongly pushed to the upside due to the effect of the bullish pattern at 79.35, where it touched resistance for the bullish short term channel that is currently around 82.00. Momentum indicators are giving off negative signs that make us expect crude to bearishly reverse to retest the breached neckline before resuming the bullish trend; therefore, we expect a bearish intraday trend that is a correctional direction and retest process that targets 79.35, where this descend initially breaches 80.70. Keep in mind that the breach of 82.00 will pave the way towards resuming the bullish direction.
The trading range for today is among the key support around 79.35 and the key resistance around 83.60.
The short term trend is to the downside as far as 84.00 remains intact with targets around 61.60.(ibtimes)
Previous Report
Weekly Report

Support80.7080.0079.3578.5577.60

Resistance81.5082.0082.5083.0583.60

RecommendationBased on the charts and explanations above our opinion is selling crude with the breach of 80.70 targeting 79.35 and stop loss above 81.50, might be appropriate.
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Crude Oil - Daily technical Forecast


Crude Oil closed sharply higher and above June's high crossing as it renews the rally off May's low. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are diverging but have turned bullish signalling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If it extends the rally off May's low, the reaction high crossing is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing would temper the near-term friendly outlook.(ibtimes)
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Gold - Daily technical Forecast


Gold closed higher due to short covering on Wednesday as it rebounds off the 50% retracement level of this year's rally crossing. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish hinting that additional weakness is possible near-term. If it extends the decline off June's high, the 62% retracement level of the aforementioned decline crossing is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted.(ibtimes)
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Gold Technical Precious Metals (2010-07-29)

Tranquility controlled the movements of the metal after achieving the breakout below the uptrend line, which we discussed earlier. Henceforth, the negative four technical factors that we discussed in details in our weekly report are still awaited to assist gold to show potential downside actions over intraday basis. We don't want to forget that we use the weekly time interval and consequently, the short term basis also is still negative. A break of 1158.00 could accelerate the suggested bearishness.
The trading range for today is among the key support at 1137.00 and key resistance now at 1187.00.
The general trend over short term basis is to the upside, targeting 1365.00 per ounce as far as areas of 1120.00 remain intact.(ibtimes)
Weekly Report Previous Report

Support1158.001152.001149.001144.001137.00

Resistance1166.001172.001174.001176.001183.00

RecommendationBased on the charts and explanations above our opinion is, Selling gold around 1166.00 targeting 1144.00 and stop loss above 1184.00 might be appropriate.
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Technical Oil (2010-07-29)

After achieving yesterday expectations, we currently await for the daily chart above to show a possible harmonic formation to insure that the daily closing is above 79.50; whereas the chances of resuming this possibility are high. The completion of the pattern could be around 82.50, where these levels are representing 78.6% Fibonacci from the XA leg pattern and 127% correction from the BC leg. From here, overall trading for crude could be in the bullish direction, which for today requires the daily four hour closing below 75.90 not occurring. Keep in mind that the RSI is trading in a neutral manner at a time the MACD index is attempting to remain positive.
The trading range for today is among the key support around 74.80 and the key resistance around 80.10.
The short term trend is to the downside as far as 84.00 remains intact with targets around 61.60.(ibtimes)
Previous Report
Weekly Report

Support77.0076.1575.9075.1574.80

Resistance77.7578.5079.5080.1081.00

RecommendationBased on the charts and explanations above our opinion is buying crude around 77.10 targeting 80.10 and stop loss below 75.10, might be appropriate.
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Crude Oil - Daily technical Forecast


Crude Oil closed lower due to profit taking on Wednesday as it consolidated some of this month's rally. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought and are turning bearish hinting that a short-term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing would temper the near-term friendly outlook. If it renews the rally off this month's low, June's high crossing is the next upside target.(ibtimes)
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Gold- Daily technical Forecast


Gold closed lower on Tuesday and tested the 50% retracement level of this year's rally crossing. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish hinting that additional weakness is possible near-term. If it extends the decline off June's high, the 62% retracement level of the aforementioned decline crossing is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted.(ibtimes)
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Gold Technical Precious Metals (2010-07-28)

"Breakout", this is the title of our analysis for gold today as the metal succeeded in breaching the uptrend line, activating the four technical factors that we discussed in details in the weekly report. This breakout took gold to yesterday's suggested technical objective exactly at 1158.00-yesterday's recorded low-and we believe that the negative pressure may continue over intraday basis, based on 2 points as follows:
1- The daily candlestick formation as seen on the secondary image.
2- The clear bearish sign appearing on AROON as AROON down-colored in red- has penetrated the value of 70.00 successfully.
The trading range for today is among the key support at 1137.00 and key resistance now at 1187.00.
The general trend over short term basis is to the upside, targeting 1365.00 per ounce as far as areas of 1120.00 remain intact.(ibtimes)
Weekly Report Previous Report

Support1158.001152.001149.001144.001137.00

Resistance1166.001172.001174.001176.001183.00

RecommendationBased on the charts and explanations above our opinion is, Selling gold around 1166.00 targeting 1144.00 and stop loss above 1184.00 might be appropriate.
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Technical Oil (2010-07-28)

Crude managed to achieve a strong breach of support for the sideway range 78.50 surpassing the awaited key target at 77.35, breaching support for the short term bullish channel and stabilized below it. Momentum indicators are showing bullish signs that are pushing to retestthe brokensupport that has turned into resistance at 77.75 before achieving more expected bearish intraday movement; targets start at 76.15 then 75.60. This scenario requires the four hour closing to stabilize below 77.75.
The trading range for today is among the key support around 75.05 and the key resistance around 79.35.
The short term trend is to the downside as far as 84.00 remains intact with targets around 61.60.(ibtimes)
Previous Report
Weekly Report

Support77.3577.0076.1575.6075.15

Resistance77.7578.5079.3580.1081.00

RecommendationBased on the charts and explanations above our opinion is selling crude around 77.75 targeting 76.15 and stop loss above 78.50, might be appropriate.
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Crude Oil - Daily technical Forecast


Crude Oil closed lower due to profit taking on Tuesday as it consolidated some of this month's rally. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought and are turning neutral hinting that a short-term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing would temper the near-term friendly outlook. If it extends the rally off this month's low, June's high crossing is the next upside target.(ibtimes)
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Gold- Daily technical Forecast


Gold closed lower on Monday and extend the decline after a short covering bounce off the 38% retracement level of this year's rally crossing. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold and turning neutral to bullish hinting that a short-term low might be in or is near. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. If it renews the decline off June's high, the 50% retracement level of the aforementioned decline crossing is the next downside target.(ibtimes)
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Gold Technical Precious Metals (2010-07-27)

Gold is currently attacking the uptrend line which has carried the movements from 680.00 to the all-time high of 1265.00. It is trading around the critical levels of 1184.00 zones-which we discussed its role in details earlier- and we see on the subsidiary image how a negative crossover appeared on Stochastic of daily basis. This bearish overlapping could assist the metal to breach the trend line. A break of which will assure the four negative factors, which discussed in details in our weekly report and we recommend reviewing it. To recap, potential bearishness could be seen over intraday basis.
The trading range for today is among the key support at 1165.00 and key resistance now at 1209.00.
The general trend over short term basis is to the upside, targeting 1365.00 per ounce as far as areas of 1120.00 remain intact.(ibtimes)
Weekly Report Previous Report

Support1176.001174.001172.001165.001158.00

Resistance1187.001192.001196.001198.001203.00

RecommendationBased on the charts and explanations above our opinion is, Selling gold with a breakout below 1183.00 targeting 1158.00 and stop loss above 1202.00 might be appropriate.
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Crude Oil - Daily technical Forecast


Crude Oil closed unchanged on Monday and the high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bullish signalling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If it extends the rally off this month's low, June's high crossing is the next upside target. Closes below last Tuesday's low crossing would temper the near-term friendly outlook.(ibtimes) 
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Technical Oil (2010-07-27)

Crude's trading istrapped within a sideway range between 78.50 and 79.35, where it is currently midway within the current bullish channel; therefore, any breach of both these levels will help crude gain speed in direction, where breaching 78.50 could lead to a direct descend towards 77.35, whereas the breach of 79.35 will push crude towards $81.00 per barrel initially. From here, we recommend observing trading for the levels mentioned to insure the upcoming direction more specifically.
The trading range for today is among the key support around 77.35 and the key resistance around 81.00.
The short term trend is to the downside as far as 84.00 remains intact with targets around 61.60.(ibtimes)
Previous Report
Weekly Report

Support78.5077.9577.3576.7076.15

Resistance79.0579.5080.1081.0081.70

RecommendationBased on the charts and explanations above our opinion is selling crude with the breach of 78.50 targeting 77.35 and stop loss above 79.40, or buying crude with the breach of 79.35 targeting 81.00 and stop loss below 78.50 might be appropriate.
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Gold- Daily technical Forecast

Gold closed lower on Friday ending a short covering bounce off the 38% retracement level of this year's rally crossing. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold and turning neutral to bullish hinting that a short-term low might be in or is near. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. If it renews the decline off June's high, the 50% retracement level of the aforementioned decline crossing is the next downside target.  (ibtimes)
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Gold Technical Precious Metals (2010-07-26)

Gold is presently facing very sensitive areas after touching the uptrend line, which carried the movements from 680.00 to all-time high of 1265.00. Actually, there are negative technical factors that could assist the metal to breach this aforesaid trend line as follows:
1-The bearish harmonic AB=CD pattern that could take it towards the second technical objective of the pattern at 61.8% of CD leg around 1125.00 zones.
2-The suggested Elliott count as wave "A" isn't completed yet.
3-The obvious bearish sign of AROON indicator.
4-The negative divergence of OsMA, which still has downside targets to be reached.
Thereby, potential bearish actions could be seen during this week but not before breaching the uptrend line.
The trading range for this week is among the key support at 1135.00 and key resistance now at 1232.00.
The general trend over the short term basis is to the upside, targeting $ 1365.00 per ounce as far as areas of 1120.00 remain intact.(ibtimes)
Previous Report

Support1187.001183.001174.001165.001155.00

Resistance1198.001203.001209.001211.001216.00

RecommendationBased on the charts and explanations above our opinion is, selling gold with a breakout below 1183.00 targeting 1145.00 and stop loss above 1211.00 might be appropriate.
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Crude Oil - Daily technical Forecast


Crude Oil closed lower due to profit taking on Friday as it consolidated some of Thursday's rally. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bullish signalling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If it extends the rally off this month's low, June's high crossing is the next upside target. Closes below last Tuesday's low crossing would temper the near-term friendly outlook.(ibtimes)
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Technical Oil (2010-07-26)

Crude was not able to surpass pivotal resistance that is represented in support for the previously breached bullish channel, trading is stuck below this resistance currently at 79.50, above the retest level for the bullish pattern shown in our previous reports at 78.50. Momentum indicators currently stand neutral, which therefore makes us recommend following up on upcoming reports as we await for more assuring signs for the upcoming direction, where the breach of 79.50 paves the way towards returning within the previous bullish direction in a strong manner; whereas building a base below 78.50 holds the keys to pushing crude to the downside initially towards 77.25.
The trading range for today is among the key support around 76.15 and the key resistance around 81.70.
The short term trend is to the downside as far as 84.00 remains intact with targets around 61.60.(ibtimes)
Previous Report

Support78.5077.9577.2576.7076.15

Resistance79.5080.1580.9081.7082.50

RecommendationBased on the charts and explanation above our opinion is observing the pair’s movement to insure its upcoming direction
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Gold- Daily technical Forecast


Gold closed higher due to short covering on Tuesday and closed above the 38% retracement level of this year's rally crossing. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain bearish signalling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If it extends the decline off June's high, the reaction low crossing is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing are needed to confirm that a low has been posted.(ibtimes) 
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Gold Technical Precious Metals (2010-07-22)

Gold traded in a rather tight range since yesterday, yet trading is still above 1180.00 -38.2% correction for the upside wave that started since February 05, 2010 and ended with the historic high- and accordingly we can suggest the second scenario to describe gold's movement; it suggests that the decline from the top was the A wave from the Zigzag wave, and as we can see that the IM formation was ideal. Therefore, we believe an upside wave might affect gold today within the formation of the bullish B wave targeting 1209.00 and 1230.00 which are the 38.2% and 61.8% correction of the A wave. Our expectations require areas of 1174.00 to remain intact.
The trading range for today is among the key support at 1154.00 and key resistance now at 1216.00.
The general trend over short term basis is to theupside targeting 1365.00 as far as areas of 1120.00 remain intact.(ibtimes)

Support1184.001180.001177.001174.001169.00

Resistance1192.001196.001203.001209.001216.00

RecommendationBased on the charts and explanations above, our opinion is buying gold around 1184.00 targeting 1210.00 and stop loss below 1174.00 might be appropriate
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Crude Oil - Daily technical Forecast


Crude Oil closed higher on Tuesday as it consolidates above the 20-day moving average crossing. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bullish signalling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If it extends the rally off this month's low, the reaction high crossing is the next upside target. Closes below last Tuesday's low crossing would temper the near-term friendly outlook.(ibtimes)
Category: 0 komentar